But it could long withstand bad news succeeding

Hard return to the hexagonal realities for Nicolas Sarkozy. According to the monthly barometer BVA - "Les echos" - France Inter, the French consider positively, a very large majority, the manner in which he presided over the European Union in the second half. However, many more to criticize the economic policy of his Government. And a polled two anticipates a significant social movement or paralysis of the country in the coming months.

As most of the commentators, the French questioned this weekend by BVA welcome the provision of the head of State at the head of the Union, which including concluded, Friday, in Brussels, with an agreement of twenty-seven on climate change or a new Ireland referendum on the Lisbon Treaty. Not less 33 56 of the respondents against sondés less de de une bonne opinion une bonne opinion "good opinion" of his European policy. The result is all the more remarkable that only a third of the French, before the summer, trusted Nicolas Sarkozy for the advances during the six months of the French Presidency, if it refers to the barometer June BVA. Even supporters of left acknowledge its performance: they are only 47 against 44 to have a "bad opinion".

"First very bad sign."

But, unfortunately for the head of State, this "European parenthesis closes", notes Gaël Sliman, Deputy Director General of BVA. After having compiled a record of its action, today, to European deputies in Strasbourg, Nicolas Sarkozy operates, this week, a return in force on the domestic political scene. A return coming delicate. The French, who felt less severely together in recent months the Government economic policy, revert more critical. They are 61 to have a "bad opinion" ( 2 points) against 34 ( 3 points) have a "good opinion", according to the last BVA - "Les Echos" - France Inter barometer.

The rebound of recent months was largely attributable to the Presidency of the European Union and interventionism of the State, requested and welcomed by the opinion, explains Gaël Sliman. But "it could long withstand bad news succeeding."

The Deputy Director General of BVA sees "a first very bad sign for Nicolas Sarkozy, as the first quarter of 2009 terrible socially." As the bedrock of support for economic policy erodes, the popular classes, including, the rejecting overwhelmingly (71 vs. 23).

As in 1995

This motion of no confidence "will widen in the coming months", cautions Gaël Sliman. The unpopularity of the economic policy records established under Fillon (67 in May 2008) and Villepin (74 in June 2006) Governments could well be beaten.

The climate is so degraded that 50 of the French against 44 anticipate "a significant social movement or paralysis of the country as in 1995," according to the BVA barometer. It is, of course, that a perception, not a prediction. The surveyed were most pessimistic in the past that this translate effectively in the street. It is no longer a wish or a fear. But most of the categories for a social explosion are also those who reject the action of the Executive, says Gaël Sliman. "Correlated to the low popularity of the Government's economic policy and the economy turns south Outlook for the first quarter of 2009, this result will not fail to be concerned."